By Francis Kobena Tandoh
Former Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia is still leading the race in the New Patriotic Party (NPP) presidential primary, this is according to the latest poll by Global InfoAnalytics on Monday.
According to the poll conducted between 17–21 November 2025, Dr Bawumia has 42.7% support among NPP delegates.
His closest rival, Kennedy Agyapong, has 17.7% in that same poll, while Dr Bryan Acheampong polled 4.6%, Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum 0.3%, with Kwabena Agyapong polling 0.3%.
Notably, 19.3% of delegates remain undecided, and 14.9% did not reveal their vote intention.
When considering only “committed” (likely) voters, Bawumia’s lead grows with 63.3% for him, vs 28.6% for Kennedy Agyapong, and 6.9% for Bryan Acheampong.
This suggests that among those who have made up their mind, Bawumia is very dominant. The poll indicates Bawumia leads in 13 out of Ghana’s 16 regions among delegates.
Kennedy Agyapong reportedly leads only in the Volta Region, and in the Central Region, the poll finds a statistical tie.
Bawumia’s favourability among delegates is very high: the poll reports a 92% favourability rating, which is up slightly from the previous survey.
Also, 59% of delegates believe giving “a candidate a second chance” could strengthen the party — this may implicitly favour Bawumia, given his previous runs.
The poll is reported to have a 99% confidence level with a margin of error of ±2.12%. The poll interviewed some ~3,500 delegates from all 16 regions of Ghana.
Despite a “slight decline” in his support compared to earlier polls, Bawumia continues to hold a commanding lead.
The 42.7% in this poll (overall) is lower than some previous numbers, but among “committed” delegates, his support is very strong (63.3%).
Because nearly 20% are undecided and ~15% did not disclose their preference, there is still meaningful space for dynamics to change. Other candidates, especially Agyapong, could try to court undecided delegates.
Leading in 13 regions gives Bawumia a strong geographic base within the NPP. This regional distribution may help him convert delegate support more effectively.
His extremely high favorability rating suggests that not only is he popular, but many delegates view him positively — which is a strong foundation for consolidating his lead.
The fact that a majority of delegates believe in “giving a candidate a second chance” could work in Bawumia’s favour, especially if he pitches his candidacy around continuity, experience, or lessons learned.
The undecided bloc is large enough that, if a rival plays a smart campaign, they could make inroads. The 14.9% who didn’t disclose their preference could swing either way — or be a sign of internal hesitancy.
If Bawumia relies too much on current leads without strengthening relationships with delegates, he could risk losing momentum, especially with proxy or grassroots delegate mobilisation.
The Global InfoAnalytics poll strongly supports the narrative that Bawumia maintains a lead in the NPP’s 2026 presidential primaries.
While not airtight (because of undecided delegates), his lead is solid and backed by favourable perceptions and broad regional strength.
For challengers, the path to closing the gap would likely involve targeting the undecided and non-committal delegates, especially in regions where Bawumia’s lead is narrower.
The opposition NPP will hold a presidential primary on January 31, 2026. Five candidates, including former Assin Central Member of Parliament Kennedy Agyapong, Abetifi Member of Parliament, Dr Bryan Acheampong, former Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia, former Education Minister Dr Yaw Osei Adutuwm and former General Secretary Kwabena Agyei Agyepong will be contesting the primary. Enditem
Source: Ghana Eye Report
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